Blackstone sees $30tn private credit opportunity
Blackstone has forecasted the private credit market to swell to $30tn (£22.9tn) thanks to growth in infrastructure finance and increased investment from pension funds.
The sector is currently valued at around $1.7tn, but that is “a sliver of the overall opportunity set,” according to Rob Horn, global head of infrastructure and asset-based credit at the Blackstone Credit and Insurance unit.
“The opportunity set to finance the real economy, whether that’s credit cards, whether that’s equipment, whether that’s data centers, aircraft — that is roughly a $30tn opportunity.”
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Horn said that investors are shifting money out of public markets, where “liquid benchmarks have deteriorated”.
“Not only can we get hard-asset collateral – which differs from what they get in the public market – but we also get a premium return,” he said on the Credit Edge podcast from Bloomberg Intelligence.
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He predicted increased allocations from insurance companies, as well as pension and sovereign wealth funds.
“From where it is today – whether it’s 0 per cent of your portfolio or three per cent – there’s certainly room to increase that toward 10 per cent, 20 per cent, depending on what your liability profile is,” he said on the podcast.
Blackstone is planning to invest $100bn in energy transition and renewables, and also sees digital infrastructure and residential real estate as key opportunities for private credit.
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